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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
19 Nov 2025 · ODI
McLean Park, Napier · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Blair Tickner · Kyle Jamieson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Blair Tickner · b Kyle Jamieson | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
| Ackeem Augustecaught · Kyle Jamieson · Nathan Smith 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Jamieson · b Nathan Smith | 22 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 70.97 |
| Keacy Cartycaught · Mark Chapman · Kyle Jamieson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Chapman · b Kyle Jamieson | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
 Shai Hopenot out13 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 109* | 69 | 13 | 4 | 157.97 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Devon Conway · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught |
| 13 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 144.44 |
 Roston Chasebowled · Nathan Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Smith | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Justin Greavescaught · Michael Bracewell · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Nathan Smith | 22 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 81.48 |
|---|
| Romario Shepherdcaught · Matt Henry · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b Blair Tickner | 22 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Matthew Fordecaught · Will Young · Nathan Smith 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Nathan Smith | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 190.91 |
|---|
| Shamar Springercaught · Will Young · Kyle Jamieson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Kyle Jamieson | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 14 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 8.86 | 0 | 0 |
 Kyle Jamieson2 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 44 | 3 | 6.29 | 6 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 61 | 1 | 10.17 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 42 | 4 | 6.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-15 (John Campbell, 5.1) · 2-38 (Keacy Carty, 9.3) · 3-62 (Ackeem Auguste, 11.5) · 4-83 (Sherfane Rutherford, 14.2) · 5-86 (Roston Chase, 15.3) · 6-130 (Justin Greaves, 23.4) · 7-177 (Romario Shepherd, 28.0) · 8-220 (Matthew Forde, 31.1) · 9-235 (Shamar Springer, 33.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 53/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 62/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 70/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 88/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 91/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 93/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 98/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 105/5 |
| 21 | 5 | 110/5 |
| 22 | 14 | 124/5 |
| 23 | 4 | 128/5 |
| 24 | 2 | 130/6 |
| 25 | 6 | 136/6 |
| 26 | 14 | 150/6 |
| 27 | 19 | 169/6 |
| 28 | 8 | 177/7 |
| 29 | 14 | 191/7 |
| 30 | 10 | 201/7 |
| 31 | 19 | 220/7 |
| 32 | 1 | 221/8 |
| 33 | 13 | 234/8 |
| 34 | 13 | 247/9 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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