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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 58%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Malaysia: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alirun out · Virandeep Singh · Syed Aziz 14 fours · 4 sixes | run out · Virandeep Singh | 101 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 174.14 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Ainool Hafizs · Khizar Hayat 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ainool Hafizs · b Khizar Hayat | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nizakat Khanbowled · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Babar Hayatbowled · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Martin Coetzeelbw · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Virandeep Singh | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| bowled · b Syed Aziz |
| 6 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| Yasim Murtazacaught · Muhammad Haziq Aiman · Arif Ullah 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Haziq Aiman · b Arif Ullah | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Nasrulla Ranabowled · Arif Ullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arif Ullah | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ayush Shuklarun out · Ainool Hafizs · Arif Ullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ainool Hafizs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Khizar Hayat0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arif Ullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-63 (Anshuman Rath, 8.1) · 2-78 (Nizakat Khan, 9.5) · 3-109 (Babar Hayat, 13.1) · 4-126 (Zeeshan Ali, 15.1) · 5-130 (Martin Coetzee, 16.1) · 6-141 (Yasim Murtaza, 17.5) · 7-143 (Aizaz Khan, 18.4) · 8-151 (Nasrulla Rana, 19.5) · 9-151 (Ayush Shukla, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 49/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 60/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 63/0 |
| 9 | 12 | 75/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 78/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 86/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 94/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 109/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 125/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 130/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 133/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 141/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 146/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 151/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.