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Zimbabwe Women tour of Pakistan · 2026 · Women
9 May 2026 · ODI
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 24%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 35% during the match (Pakistan: 65% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovulbw · Syeda Aroob Shah 8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Syeda Aroob Shah | 51 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 70.83 |
| Kelly Ndirayacaught · Ayesha Zafar · Tasmia Rubab 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ayesha Zafar · b Tasmia Rubab | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| VM Mutungwinducaught · Muneeba Ali · Tasmia Rubab 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muneeba Ali · b Tasmia Rubab | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| B Bizacaught · Aliya Riaz · Tasmia Rubab 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aliya Riaz · b Tasmia Rubab | 73 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 82.95 |
| R Pasipanodyabowled · Syeda Aroob Shah 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Syeda Aroob Shah | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Momina Riasat |
| 23 |
| 30 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 76.67 |
| C Mutasacaught · Aliya Riaz · Ayesha Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aliya Riaz · b Ayesha Zafar | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nomvelo Sibandanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 35* | 55 | 2 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| K Chigoracaught and bowled · Ayesha Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ayesha Zafar | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| L Mabherorun out · Gull Feroza, Muneeba Ali · Momina Riasat 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gull Feroza, Muneeba Ali | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| O Charenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Baig1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Tasmia Rubab0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 4.90 | 3 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 4.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Momina Riasat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Syeda Aroob Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Natalia Pervaiz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 2.17 | 1 | 0 |
1-16 (Kelly Ndiraya, 2.0) · 2-22 (VM Mutungwindu, 3.2) · 3-109 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 22.2) · 4-124 (R Pasipanodya, 26.3) · 5-157 (B Biza, 32.1) · 6-160 (C Mutasa, 33.1) · 7-183 (A Zimunu, 38.2) · 8-184 (K Chigora, 39.3) · 9-200 (L Mabhero, 44.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 38/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 62/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 69/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 77/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 83/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 86/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 93/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 95/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 101/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 109/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 119/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 122/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 124/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 126/4 |
| 28 | 12 | 138/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 142/4 |
| 30 | 6 | 148/4 |
| 31 | 7 | 155/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 157/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 160/5 |
| 34 | 0 | 160/6 |
| 35 | 2 | 162/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 165/6 |
| 37 | 11 | 176/6 |
| 38 | 4 | 180/6 |
| 39 | 3 | 183/7 |
| 40 | 3 | 186/8 |
| 41 | 3 | 189/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 192/8 |
| 43 | 3 | 195/8 |
| 44 | 0 | 195/8 |
| 45 | 5 | 200/9 |
| 46 | 1 | 201/9 |
| 47 | 3 | 204/9 |
| 48 | 10 | 214/9 |
| 49 | 4 | 218/9 |
| 50 | 4 | 222/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.