BahrainversusSingapore

5 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Bahrain won by 2 runs

Bahrain20.0 overs212/8 Singapore20.0 overs210/6 Singapore National Cricket Ground ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Bahrain more likely to win

81%Bahrain19%Singapore

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Bahrain rate stronger than Singapore (1,595 vs 1,401 on our results rating)
In the last 4 T20 internationals between these sides, Bahrain won 4 and Singapore won 0
Singapore are playing at home in Singapore

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Bahrain started on 79%; Bahrain batted first.

Bahrain’s chance of winning (%) · Singapore is the rest

Bahrain's chances ranged from 56% to 97% during the match (Singapore: 3% to 44%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.1: Shujaat Rasool to DPS Tyagi, DPS Tyagi out. Bahrain up from 68% to 79%.
2nd inns 19.4: Abdul Rauf to H Bharadwaj, four by H Bharadwaj. Singapore up from 21% to 44%.
2nd inns 19.6: Abdul Rauf to H Bharadwaj, 1 run to H Bharadwaj. Bahrain up from 63% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Bahrain212/8 Singapore210/6

Innings 1

Bahrain

212/820.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Bahrain batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Abdulla Pervaizbowled · Jeevan Santhanam 3 fours · 3 sixes	bowled · b Jeevan Santhanam	40	30	3	3	133.33
Hamza Riazcaught · Aslan Jafri · K Venkatraman 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Aslan Jafri · b K Venkatraman	0	6	0	0	0.00
Junaid Azizlbw · Jeevan Santhanam 3 fours · 2 sixes	lbw · b Jeevan Santhanam	30	22	3	2	136.36
Mohammed Sameerlbw · Jeevan Santhanam 0 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Jeevan Santhanam	0	2	0	0	0.00
Muhammad Adilbowled · Daksh Tyagi 3 fours · 4 sixes	bowled · b Daksh Tyagi	45	19	3	4	236.84
Yousif Wali

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Daksh Tyagi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	38	3	9.50	1	0
K Venkatraman1 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls	4.0	1	46	2	11.50	3	1
H Bharadwaj0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	32	0	8.00	2	0
Jeevan Santhanam0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	31	3	7.75	3	0
VT Thiyanesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	12	0	12.00	1	0
M Bhatia0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	15	0	7.50	0	0
Aslan Jafri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	34	0	34.00	0	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	2	2/0
2	11	13/1
3	10	23/1
4	10	33/1
5	4	37/1
6	8	45/1
7	7	52/1
8	12	64/1
9	11	75/1
10	9	84/4
11	6	90/4
12	7	97/4
13	8	105/4
14	20	125/4
15	8	133/4
16	14	147/5
17	4	151/5
18	34	185/5
19	12	197/7
20	15	212/8

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