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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
23 Jan 2026 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 48%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Tristan Stubbs · Lutho Sipamla 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Lutho Sipamla | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Kyle Verreynnenot out 5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 52* | 46 | 5 | 1 | 113.04 |
| Rubin Hermanncaught · Lutho Sipamla · Anrich Nortje 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lutho Sipamla · b Anrich Nortje | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 109.09 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b James Coles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Asa Tribestumped · Quinton de Kock · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| stumped · Quinton de Kock · b Senuran Muthusamy |
| 1 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 12.50 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Quinton de Kock · b Senuran Muthusamy | 19 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 70.37 |
|---|
| Rovman Powellcaught · Marco Jansen · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Senuran Muthusamy | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuincaught · Jordan Hermann · Anrich Nortje 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Hermann · b Anrich Nortje | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Hardus Viljoennot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lutho Sipamla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Anrich Nortje0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| James Coles1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-5 (LG Pretorius, 2.0) · 2-26 (Rubin Hermann, 4.4) · 3-31 (Daniel Lawrence, 5.2) · 4-34 (Asa Tribe, 7.0) · 5-73 (Sikandar Raza, 14.3) · 6-75 (Rovman Powell, 15.0) · 7-108 (Bjorn Fortuin, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 34/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 37/4 |
| 9 | 1 | 38/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 47/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 48/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 56/4 |
| 14 | 16 | 72/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 75/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 81/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 89/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 97/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 104/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 114/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.