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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
13 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 33%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 1% to 88% during the match (The Blaze: 12% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suzie Batescaught · Kathryn Bryce12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Kathryn Bryce | 77 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 132.76 |
| Leah Dobsoncaught · Kathryn Bryce · Cassidy McCarthy 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce · b Cassidy McCarthy | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Mady Villierscaught · Kathryn Bryce · Sarah Glenn 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce · b Sarah Glenn | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Hollie Armitagebowled · Sarah Glenn1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sarah Glenn | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Bess Heath |
| caught · Ella Claridge · b Kathryn Bryce |
| 45 |
| 27 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 166.67 |
| Mia Rogersnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Katherine Frasernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy McCarthy0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Grace Ballinger0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 13.06 | 1 | 2 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Georgia Elwiss0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Leah Dobson, 0.5) · 2-80 (Mady Villiers, 9.1) · 3-99 (Hollie Armitage, 11.2) · 4-185 (Bess Heath, 19.2) · 5-186 (Suzie Bates, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 14 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 87/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 102/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 110/3 |
| 14 | 23 | 133/3 |
| 15 | 18 | 151/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 158/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 164/3 |
| 18 | 14 | 178/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 184/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 188/5 |
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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