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Ireland Tri-Nation Women's T20I Series · 2026 · Women
28 May 2026 · T20
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 68%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (West Indies: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Huntercaught · Chinelle Henry · Zaida James 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chinelle Henry · b Zaida James | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Alana Dalzellcaught · Aaliyah Alleyne · Zaida James 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaliyah Alleyne · b Zaida James | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Rebecca Stokellcaught · Deandra Dottin · Jahzara Claxton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deandra Dottin · b Jahzara Claxton | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Jahzara Claxton · Hayley Matthews 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jahzara Claxton · b Hayley Matthews | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 113.64 |
| Leah Paulcaught · Hayley Matthews · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayley Matthews · b Afy Fletcher | 21 | 21 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| A Tectorstumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Qiana Joseph 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Qiana Joseph | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Louise Littlecaught and bowled · Jahzara Claxton 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jahzara Claxton | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Ava Canningcaught · Hayley Matthews · Karishma Ramharack 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayley Matthews · b Karishma Ramharack | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirecaught · Hayley Matthews · Qiana Joseph 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayley Matthews · b Qiana Joseph | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Cara Murraybowled · Qiana Joseph 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Qiana Joseph | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chinelle Henry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaida James0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahzara Claxton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Stafanie Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Alana Dalzell, 1.5) · 2-19 (Amy Hunter, 3.3) · 3-23 (Rebecca Stokell, 4.1) · 4-67 (Leah Paul, 10.2) · 5-73 (Orla Prendergast, 11.3) · 6-80 (Louise Little, 12.5) · 7-88 (Ava Canning, 13.4) · 8-102 (A Tector, 16.3) · 9-103 (Aimee Maguire, 16.4) · 10-103 (Cara Murray, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 27/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 36/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 41/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 47/3 |
| 9 | 14 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 69/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 78/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 83/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 89/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 100/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 103/10 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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