Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Royals

22 Aug 2024 · T20

Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 7 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs113/9 Barbados Royals17.1 overs116/3 Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 39%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Barbados Royals: 60% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.1: CA Henry to Kycia A Knight, Kycia A Knight out. Barbados Royals up from 60% to 71%.
5.4: Q Joseph to JL Jonassen, JL Jonassen out. Barbados Royals up from 71% to 80%.
2nd inns 1.5: JL Jonassen to AC Jayangani, AC Jayangani out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 23% to 31%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders113/9 Barbados Royals116/3

Innings 1