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Viking Cup · 2026 · Men
13 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Finland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 58%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Pusthaycaught · Saif-Ul Islam · Ahmadullah Shinwari 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saif-Ul Islam · b Ahmadullah Shinwari | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 123.08 |
| VS Padhaalrun out · Akhter Pacha Sher, Ibrahim Rahimi · Ahmadullah Shinwari 8 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Akhter Pacha Sher, Ibrahim Rahimi | 84 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 147.37 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbascaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · M Shahbaz Butt 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b M Shahbaz Butt | 23 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 115.00 |
| Zahidullah Kamalbowled · Farmanullah Ghari 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Farmanullah Ghari | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Faheem Nellanchericaught · Ankit Gupta · Walid Ghauri 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ankit Gupta · b Walid Ghauri | 25 | 18 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 138.89 |
| Jordan O'Brienrun out · Akhter Pacha Sher, Chaudhary Akram · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Akhter Pacha Sher, Chaudhary Akram | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| NM Salonenrun out · Ahmadullah Shinwari · Ahmadullah Shinwari 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ahmadullah Shinwari | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Amjad Shernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| MB Tambenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Farmanullah Ghari0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Shahbaz Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaudhary Akram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Walid Ghauri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-38 (A Pusthay, 4.4) · 2-94 (Faraaz Mehti Abbas, 10.5) · 3-110 (Zahidullah Kamal, 13.1) · 4-156 (Faheem Nellancheri, 17.5) · 5-160 (Jordan O'Brien, 18.4) · 6-169 (NM Salonen, 19.1) · 7-173 (VS Padhaal, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 16 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 89/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 110/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 117/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 135/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 143/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 156/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 168/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 177/7 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
