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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
2 Jan 2024 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 41%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsoncaught · Jeet Raval · Neil Wagner 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Neil Wagner | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 181.82 |
 Tom Blundellcaught · Freddy Walker · Scott Kuggeleijn7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Freddy Walker · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 71 | 39 | 7 | 4 | 182.05 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Jeet Raval · Tim Pringle 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Tim Pringle | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
 Muhammad Abbascaught · Henry Cooper · Tim Pringle1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Cooper · b Tim Pringle | 23 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 109.52 |
| caught · Jeet Raval · b Neil Wagner |
| 22 |
| 14 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 157.14 |
 Callum McLachlancaught · Brett Hampton · Neil Wagner4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Hampton · b Neil Wagner | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 146.67 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithbowled · Brett Hampton 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brett Hampton | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekbowled · Brett Hampton 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brett Hampton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Kuggeleijn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Tim Pringle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Tim Robinson, 2.3) · 2-81 (Nick Kelly, 7.5) · 3-112 (Tom Blundell, 11.4) · 4-140 (Muhammad Abbas, 14.5) · 5-153 (Jesse Tashkoff, 16.3) · 6-172 (Callum McLachlan, 19.0) · 7-172 (Nathan Smith, 19.1) · 8-173 (Logan van Beek, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 26 | 72/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 79/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 81/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 89/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 98/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 108/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 114/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 121/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 132/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 141/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 153/4 |
| 17 | 1 | 154/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 167/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 172/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 177/8 |
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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