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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
30 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 29%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Ali Naseer · Muhammad Jawadullah 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 85 | 54 | 7 | 4 | 157.41 |
| Andries Gousbowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Smit Patelbowled · Aayan Afzal Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nitish Kumarcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Basil Hameed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Basil Hameed | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Shayan Jahangirlbw · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Ali Naseer | 19 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 211.11 |
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Asif Khan · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Khan · b Ali Naseer | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Ali Naseer | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Abhishek Paradkarcaught · Muhammad Farooq · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Farooq · b Junaid Siddique | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigecaught · Syed Haider · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Ali Naseer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| J Drysdalenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-62 (Andries Gous, 6.2) · 2-92 (Smit Patel, 10.2) · 3-125 (Nitish Kumar, 13.3) · 4-149 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 15.5) · 5-151 (Shayan Jahangir, 16.2) · 6-163 (Harmeet Singh, 18.3) · 7-164 (Jasdeep Singh, 18.5) · 8-164 (Nosthush Kenjige, 19.0) · 9-175 (Abhishek Paradkar, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 62/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 91/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 20 | 118/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 124/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 133/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 138/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 149/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 153/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 161/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 164/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 175/9 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
