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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Caribbean Premier League · 2025 · Men
19 Aug 2025 · T20
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
St Lucia Kings started on 61%; St Lucia Kings batted first.
St Lucia Kings's chances ranged from 16% to 96% during the match (St Kitts and Nevis Patriots: 4% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson Charlescaught · Jyd Goolie · Waqar Khan 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jyd Goolie · b Waqar Khan | 52 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 185.71 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Naseem Shah · Kyle Mayers 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Naseem Shah · b Kyle Mayers | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Ackeem Augustecaught · Rilee Rossouw · Kyle Mayers 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rilee Rossouw · b Kyle Mayers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Roston Chasebowled · Fazalhaq Farooqi8 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Fazalhaq Farooqi | 61 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 160.53 |
| Tim Davidcaught · Naseem Shah · Jason Holder 1 fours · 5 sixes |
| caught · Naseem Shah · b Jason Holder |
| 46 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 200.00 |
| Delano Potgietercaught · Kyle Mayers · Naseem Shah 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kyle Mayers · b Naseem Shah | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 108.33 |
|---|
 David Wiesecaught · Fazalhaq Farooqi · Waqar Khan0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fazalhaq Farooqi · b Waqar Khan | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephbowled · Fazalhaq Farooqi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fazalhaq Farooqi | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| K Gastonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Mayers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Fazalhaq Farooqi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Jason Holder0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 14.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Dominic Drakes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Naseem Shah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Navin Bidaisee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Tim Seifert, 2.5) · 2-21 (Ackeem Auguste, 3.0) · 3-71 (Johnson Charles, 7.2) · 4-157 (Roston Chase, 15.4) · 5-178 (Tim David, 16.5) · 6-187 (David Wiese, 18.0) · 7-190 (Alzarri Joseph, 19.0) · 8-200 (Delano Potgieter, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 18 | 39/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 60/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 69/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 11 | 16 | 106/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 115/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 128/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 143/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 154/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 158/4 |
| 17 | 21 | 179/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 187/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 190/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 200/8 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rilee Rossouw: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Fazalhaq Farooqi: Afghanistan Cricket Board Official · CC BY 3.0
Kyle Mayers: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
David Wiese: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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