Hyderabad KingsmenversusPeshawar Zalmi

3 May 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Peshawar Zalmi won by 5 wickets

Hyderabad Kingsmen18.0 overs129/10 Peshawar Zalmi15.2 overs130/5 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Hyderabad Kingsmen started on 47%; Hyderabad Kingsmen batted first.

Hyderabad Kingsmen’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Hyderabad Kingsmen's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 38% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.2: Mohammad Basit to Maaz Sadaqat, Maaz Sadaqat out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 41% to 54%.
7.1: Nahid Rana to GJ Maxwell, GJ Maxwell out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 62% to 82%.
2nd inns 4.5: Akif Javed to MG Bracewell, MG Bracewell out. Hyderabad Kingsmen up from 14% to 34%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Hyderabad Kingsmen129/10 Peshawar Zalmi130/5

Innings 1