Kolkata Knight RidersversusGujarat Titans

16 May 2026 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 29 runs

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs247/2 Gujarat Titans20.0 overs218/4 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 42%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 0% to 60%).

Biggest swings

4.3: Mohammed Siraj to AM Rahane, AM Rahane out. Gujarat Titans up from 39% to 50%.
2nd inns 4.1: SP Narine to N Sindhu, N Sindhu out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 77% to 86%.
2nd inns 15.2: Kartik Tyagi to JC Buttler, six by JC Buttler. Gujarat Titans up from 23% to 31%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders247/2 Gujarat Titans218/4

Innings 1