Lahore QalandarsversusQuetta Gladiators

10 Mar 2024 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 6 wickets

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs166/4 Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs169/4 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 43%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 20% to 77% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 23% to 80%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.6: Jahandad Khan to Saud Shakeel, six by Saud Shakeel. Quetta Gladiators up from 28% to 49%.
2nd inns 19.4: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Saud Shakeel, four by Saud Shakeel. Quetta Gladiators up from 38% to 61%.
2nd inns 19.6: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Mohammad Wasim, six by Mohammad Wasim. Quetta Gladiators up from 50% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars166/4 Quetta Gladiators169/4

Innings 1