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Photo: BBC Urdu
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England tour of Pakistan · 2024/25 · Men
7 Oct 2024 · Test
Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Ollie Pope · Gus Atkinson10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Gus Atkinson | 102 | 184 | 10 | 2 | 55.43 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Shan Masoodcaught and bowled · Jack Leach13 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Leach | 151 | 177 | 13 | 2 | 85.31 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamlbw · Chris Woakes5 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Chris Woakes |
| 30 |
| 71 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 42.25 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Joe Root · Shoaib Bashir8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Shoaib Bashir | 82 | 177 | 8 | 0 | 46.33 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahcaught · Harry Brook · Brydon Carse1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Brydon Carse | 33 | 81 | 1 | 3 | 40.74 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Chris Woakes · Jack Leach0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Jack Leach | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghanot out 10 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 104* | 119 | 10 | 3 | 87.39 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamallbw · Brydon Carse 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brydon Carse | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridibowled · Jack Leach2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jack Leach | 26 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 53.06 |
|---|
 Abrar Ahmedcaught · Ben Duckett · Joe Root0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Joe Root | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes5 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 23.0 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Gus Atkinson5 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 25.0 | 5 | 99 | 2 | 3.96 | 3 | 1 |
 Brydon Carse3 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 22.0 | 3 | 74 | 2 | 3.36 | 2 | 2 |
| Shoaib Bashir3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 32.0 | 3 | 124 | 1 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Leach5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 40.0 | 5 | 160 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 3.57 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Saim Ayub, 3.4) · 2-261 (Abdullah Shafique, 59.5) · 3-263 (Shan Masood, 62.3) · 4-324 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 84.3) · 5-388 (Naseem Shah, 105.4) · 6-393 (Mohammad Rizwan, 108.5) · 7-450 (Saud Shakeel, 125.2) · 8-464 (Aamer Jamal, 128.4) · 9-549 (Shaheen Afridi, 145.5) · 10-556 (Abrar Ahmed, 149.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 17/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 49/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 50/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 61/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 67/1 |
| 16 | 9 | 76/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 18 | 8 | 86/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 86/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 89/1 |
| 21 | 9 | 98/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 99/1 |
| 23 | 6 | 105/1 |
| 24 | 16 | 121/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 122/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 123/1 |
| 27 | 1 | 124/1 |
| 28 | 6 | 130/1 |
| 29 | 2 | 132/1 |
| 30 | 5 | 137/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 142/1 |
| 32 | 8 | 150/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 151/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 154/1 |
| 35 | 7 | 161/1 |
| 36 | 8 | 169/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 170/1 |
| 38 | 7 | 177/1 |
| 39 | 7 | 184/1 |
| 40 | 5 | 189/1 |
| 41 | 5 | 194/1 |
| 42 | 5 | 199/1 |
| 43 | 3 | 202/1 |
| 44 | 5 | 207/1 |
| 45 | 2 | 209/1 |
| 46 | 5 | 214/1 |
| 47 | 3 | 217/1 |
| 48 | 4 | 221/1 |
| 49 | 1 | 222/1 |
| 50 | 4 | 226/1 |
| 51 | 1 | 227/1 |
| 52 | 6 | 233/1 |
| 53 | 3 | 236/1 |
| 54 | 3 | 239/1 |
| 55 | 7 | 246/1 |
| 56 | 5 | 251/1 |
| 57 | 5 | 256/1 |
| 58 | 4 | 260/1 |
| 59 | 0 | 260/1 |
| 60 | 1 | 261/2 |
| 61 | 0 | 261/2 |
| 62 | 2 | 263/2 |
| 63 | 0 | 263/3 |
| 64 | 4 | 267/3 |
| 65 | 12 | 279/3 |
| 66 | 1 | 280/3 |
| 67 | 5 | 285/3 |
| 68 | 0 | 285/3 |
| 69 | 1 | 286/3 |
| 70 | 0 | 286/3 |
| 71 | 4 | 290/3 |
| 72 | 3 | 293/3 |
| 73 | 5 | 298/3 |
| 74 | 0 | 298/3 |
| 75 | 1 | 299/3 |
| 76 | 3 | 302/3 |
| 77 | 0 | 302/3 |
| 78 | 3 | 305/3 |
| 79 | 1 | 306/3 |
| 80 | 1 | 307/3 |
| 81 | 1 | 308/3 |
| 82 | 7 | 315/3 |
| 83 | 4 | 319/3 |
| 84 | 5 | 324/3 |
| 85 | 0 | 324/4 |
| 86 | 4 | 328/4 |
| 87 | 0 | 328/4 |
| 88 | 5 | 333/4 |
| 89 | 1 | 334/4 |
| 90 | 3 | 337/4 |
| 91 | 2 | 339/4 |
| 92 | 5 | 344/4 |
| 93 | 2 | 346/4 |
| 94 | 0 | 346/4 |
| 95 | 2 | 348/4 |
| 96 | 1 | 349/4 |
| 97 | 11 | 360/4 |
| 98 | 2 | 362/4 |
| 99 | 1 | 363/4 |
| 100 | 3 | 366/4 |
| 101 | 2 | 368/4 |
| 102 | 3 | 371/4 |
| 103 | 6 | 377/4 |
| 104 | 4 | 381/4 |
| 105 | 7 | 388/4 |
| 106 | 0 | 388/5 |
| 107 | 4 | 392/5 |
| 108 | 0 | 392/5 |
| 109 | 1 | 393/6 |
| 110 | 0 | 393/6 |
| 111 | 0 | 393/6 |
| 112 | 4 | 397/6 |
| 113 | 8 | 405/6 |
| 114 | 1 | 406/6 |
| 115 | 8 | 414/6 |
| 116 | 5 | 419/6 |
| 117 | 13 | 432/6 |
| 118 | 0 | 432/6 |
| 119 | 4 | 436/6 |
| 120 | 0 | 436/6 |
| 121 | 1 | 437/6 |
| 122 | 2 | 439/6 |
| 123 | 1 | 440/6 |
| 124 | 4 | 444/6 |
| 125 | 6 | 450/6 |
| 126 | 3 | 453/7 |
| 127 | 5 | 458/7 |
| 128 | 2 | 460/7 |
| 129 | 4 | 464/8 |
| 130 | 8 | 472/8 |
| 131 | 2 | 474/8 |
| 132 | 1 | 475/8 |
| 133 | 5 | 480/8 |
| 134 | 11 | 491/8 |
| 135 | 9 | 500/8 |
| 136 | 8 | 508/8 |
| 137 | 4 | 512/8 |
| 138 | 3 | 515/8 |
| 139 | 1 | 516/8 |
| 140 | 4 | 520/8 |
| 141 | 0 | 520/8 |
| 142 | 3 | 523/8 |
| 143 | 7 | 530/8 |
| 144 | 13 | 543/8 |
| 145 | 3 | 546/8 |
| 146 | 3 | 549/9 |
| 147 | 1 | 550/9 |
| 148 | 3 | 553/9 |
| 149 | 3 | 556/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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