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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
30 May 2025 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 35%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 33% to 98% during the match (Gloucestershire: 2% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Ben Charlesworth · Tom Smith 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Charlesworth · b Tom Smith | 42 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 127.27 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondbowled · Jack Taylor6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jack Taylor | 60 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 157.89 |
 Zak Crawleycaught · Ben Charlesworth · Tom Smith0 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ben Charlesworth · b Tom Smith | 37 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 217.65 |
 Joe Denlynot out3 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 48* | 24 | 3 | 4 | 200.00 |
 Sam Billingsnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 8 | 1 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AA Rao0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Tom Smith0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Charlesworth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-98 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 10.3) · 2-109 (Tawanda Muyeye, 12.5) · 3-158 (Zak Crawley, 16.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 54/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 61/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 72/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 76/0 |
| 10 | 18 | 94/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 101/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 105/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 110/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 118/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 128/2 |
| 16 | 27 | 155/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 164/3 |
| 18 | 14 | 178/3 |
| 19 | 10 | 188/3 |
| 20 | 20 | 208/3 |
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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