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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 55%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Durham: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luis Reecebowled · Callum Parkinson1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Callum Parkinson | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Ben Raine · Callum Parkinson1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Raine · b Callum Parkinson | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220.00 |
| David Lloydcaught · Ollie Robinson · Paul Coughlin 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Paul Coughlin | 20 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 125.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Ashton Turner · Nathan Sowter2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Nathan Sowter |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 146.67 |
 Brooke Guestcaught · Ollie Robinson · Paul Coughlin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Paul Coughlin | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
 Samit Patellbw · Nathan Sowter1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Sowter | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Ollie Robinson · Ben Raine1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Ben Raine | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsonnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 22* | 24 | 1 | 1 | 91.67 |
|---|
 Mohammad Amirbowled · Ben Raine0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 13 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Daryn Dupavillonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Paul Coughlin0 maidens · 1 wides · 4 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 2 | 14.00 | 1 | 4 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 2 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Luis Reece, 0.3) · 2-35 (Aneurin Donald, 2.5) · 3-58 (David Lloyd, 5.0) · 4-65 (Wayne Madsen, 6.4) · 5-84 (Brooke Guest, 9.4) · 6-108 (Samit Patel, 13.0) · 7-110 (Ross Whiteley, 13.4) · 8-142 (Mohammad Amir, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 17 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 37/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 42/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 58/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 64/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 65/4 |
| 8 | 8 | 73/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 77/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 86/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 92/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 101/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 108/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 112/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 117/7 |
| 16 | 14 | 131/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 139/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 142/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 149/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 155/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Paul Coughlin: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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