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Bahrain tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
23 Feb 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 62%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Kadek Gamantika · Gaurav Tiwari 5 fours · 9 sixes | caught · Kadek Gamantika · b Gaurav Tiwari | 96 | 45 | 5 | 9 | 213.33 |
| P Kurupcaught · Kadek Gamantika · Ketut Artawan 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kadek Gamantika · b Ketut Artawan | 31 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 163.16 |
| Sohail Ahmedbowled · Gaurav Tiwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gaurav Tiwari | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasirnot out 2 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 61* | 26 | 2 | 6 | 234.62 |
| Junaid Azizcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b F Banunaek | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM Koda0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 1 |
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaurav Tiwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| PR Surve0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-60 (P Kurup, 6.2) · 2-141 (Fiaz Ahmed, 13.4) · 3-142 (Sohail Ahmed, 14.0) · 4-146 (Junaid Aziz, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 59/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 77/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 90/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 113/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 124/1 |
| 14 | 18 | 142/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 146/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 148/4 |
| 17 | 25 | 173/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 186/4 |
| 19 | 18 | 204/4 |
| 20 | 12 | 216/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.