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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
29 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 53%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · JJ Smit · Gerhard Erasmus8 fours · 4 sixes | caught · JJ Smit · b Gerhard Erasmus | 73 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 221.21 |
| Waseem Muhammadnot out 6 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 89* | 50 | 6 | 6 | 178.00 |
| Asif Khancaught · JJ Smit · Gerhard Erasmus 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · JJ Smit · b Gerhard Erasmus | 39 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 177.27 |
| Basil Hameednot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 37* | 15 | 2 | 3 | 246.67 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Tangeni Lungameni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan-Izak de Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 0 | 0 |
| DO Leicher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-130 (Alishan Sharafu, 10.3) · 2-183 (Asif Khan, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 39/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 64/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 72/0 |
| 7 | 15 | 87/0 |
| 8 | 15 | 102/0 |
| 9 | 15 | 117/0 |
| 10 | 12 | 129/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 137/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 140/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 145/1 |
| 14 | 23 | 168/1 |
| 15 | 14 | 182/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 186/2 |
| 17 | 8 | 194/2 |
| 18 | 14 | 208/2 |
| 19 | 16 | 224/2 |
| 20 | 21 | 245/2 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
