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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
31 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 67%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 3% to 83% during the match (Somerset: 17% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Katie Jones · OJ Barnes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katie Jones · b OJ Barnes | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
| Kira Chathlilbw · OJ Barnes 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b OJ Barnes | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Paige Scholfieldbowled · Niamh Holland4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Niamh Holland | 28 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardslbw · Niamh Holland 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Niamh Holland | 24 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
| Laura Harrislbw · OJ Barnes 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b OJ Barnes | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Jemima Spencenot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 51* | 35 | 7 | 1 | 145.71 |
|---|
| Alice Monaghannot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 7 | 3 | 0 | 285.71 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Griffiths0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Chloe Skelton0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 1 |
| OJ Barnes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| E Vukusic0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 1 |
| LM Harris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Niamh Holland0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 9 | 0 |
1-18 (Kira Chathli, 3.1) · 2-33 (Bryony Smith, 5.3) · 3-52 (Paige Scholfield, 8.1) · 4-60 (Laura Harris, 9.3) · 5-109 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 44/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 52/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 59/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 62/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 65/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 73/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 78/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 83/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 93/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 101/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 109/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 120/5 |
| 19 | 21 | 141/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 153/5 |
Sophie Luff: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Skelton: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
