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Zimbabwe Women tour of United States of America · 2025 · Women
25 Apr 2025 · T20
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 33%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Ritu Singh · Geetika Kodali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ritu Singh · b Geetika Kodali | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Modester Mupachikwahit wicket · AI Chudasama 0 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b AI Chudasama | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Pooja Ganesh · Isani Vaghela 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pooja Ganesh · b Isani Vaghela | 15 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Loren Tshumacaught · Pooja Ganesh · S Immadi 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Pooja Ganesh · b S Immadi | 38 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 140.74 |
| B Bizacaught · BO Shastri · Geetika Kodali 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BO Shastri · b Geetika Kodali | 33 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 97.06 |
| Josephine Nkomonot out 3 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 22* |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| NL Mtombabowled · Geetika Kodali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Geetika Kodali | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Chiedza Dhurururun out · CR Pagydyala · Isani Vaghela 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · CR Pagydyala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| A Zimununot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 3 | 1 |
| AI Chudasama0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Maahi Madhavan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Isani Vaghela0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Immadi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 0.3) · 2-12 (Modester Mupachikwa, 3.2) · 3-43 (Chipo Mugeri, 8.0) · 4-66 (Loren Tshuma, 11.3) · 5-117 (B Biza, 18.3) · 6-119 (NL Mtomba, 19.0) · 7-119 (Chiedza Dhururu, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 35/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 43/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 50/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 66/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 71/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 76/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 81/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 93/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 104/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 115/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 119/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 124/7 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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