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Photo: BBC Urdu
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South Africa Women tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Women
18 Sept 2024 · T20
Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 36%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 37% to 99% during the match (South Africa: 1% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muneeba Alibowled · Annerie Dercksen 6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Annerie Dercksen | 45 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 132.35 |
| Gull Ferozacaught · Nadine de Klerk · Tumi Sekhukhune 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nadine de Klerk · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Sidra Ameenbowled · Suné Luus 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Suné Luus | 28 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 112.00 |
| Nida Darcaught · Annerie Dercksen · Tumi Sekhukhune 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Annerie Dercksen · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 29 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 138.10 |
| Fatima Sananot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 37* | 23 | 3 | 2 | 160.87 |
| Aliya Riaz |
| not out |
| 17* |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 242.86 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chloe Tryon0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Ayanda Hlubi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tumi Sekhukhune0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Nadine de Klerk0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Suné Luus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Annerie Dercksen0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 4 | 0 |
| Seshnie Naidu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-25 (Gull Feroza, 3.5) · 2-74 (Muneeba Ali, 10.2) · 3-100 (Sidra Ameen, 12.2) · 4-160 (Nida Dar, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 52/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 73/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 82/2 |
| 12 | 17 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 102/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 108/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 121/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 144/3 |
| 18 | 12 | 156/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 165/4 |
| 20 | 16 | 181/4 |
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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