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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
9 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 53%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Otago: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsonbowled · Ben Lockrose 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Lockrose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Tom Blundellcaught · Jack Boyle · Jake Gibson5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Boyle · b Jake Gibson | 25 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 156.25 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Jack Boyle · Danru Ferns3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Boyle · b Danru Ferns | 26 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 136.84 |
 Muhammad Abbascaught · Jack Boyle · Zac Cumming0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Boyle · b Zac Cumming | 12 | 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 92.31 |
 Jesse Tashkoffrun out · Max Chu, Jake Gibson · Danru Ferns0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Max Chu, Jake Gibson | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 105.88 |
|---|
 Callum McLachlancaught · Danru Ferns · Jake Gibson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danru Ferns · b Jake Gibson | 25 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 22 | 2 | 1 | 113.64 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandcaught · Jamal Todd · Matthew Bacon 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamal Todd · b Matthew Bacon | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Danru Ferns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Zac Cumming0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Troy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Tim Robinson, 0.1) · 2-45 (Tom Blundell, 4.4) · 3-66 (Rachin Ravindra, 7.5) · 4-69 (Muhammad Abbas, 8.3) · 5-105 (Jesse Tashkoff, 13.4) · 6-131 (Callum McLachlan, 18.1) · 7-148 (Peter Younghusband, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 15 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 19 | 45/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 67/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 78/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 81/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 90/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 96/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 106/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 115/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 122/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 128/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 131/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 136/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 150/7 |
Zac Cumming: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yahya Zeb: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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