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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division One Qualifier · 2025 · Women
6 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Tanzania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 54%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 11% to 96% during the match (Uganda: 4% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Mtaecaught · Malisa Ariokot · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malisa Ariokot · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 115.38 |
| NJ Piuslbw · Concy Aweko 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Concy Aweko | 33 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 76.74 |
| Fatuma Kibasucaught · Kevin Awino · K Amuge 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Awino · b K Amuge | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| HM Omarynot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 45* | 34 | 4 | 1 | 132.35 |
| JG Kimarorun out · Janet Mbabazi · Malisa Ariokot 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Janet Mbabazi | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| AS Qwelecaught · Prosscovia Alako · Concy Aweko0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Prosscovia Alako · b Concy Aweko |
| 6 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| NN Saidinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Amuge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Akiteng0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Malisa Ariokot0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-16 (S Mtae, 2.4) · 2-24 (Fatuma Kibasu, 5.0) · 3-70 (NJ Pius, 13.0) · 4-81 (JG Kimaro, 16.2) · 5-107 (AS Qwele, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 37/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 56/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 63/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 67/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 75/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 77/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 80/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 86/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 99/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 106/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 109/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.