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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
17 Dec 2024 · T20
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 43%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Kuwait: 36% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqlain Arshadcaught · Sayed Monib · Mirza Ahmed 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sayed Monib · b Mirza Ahmed | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Imal Liyanagecaught · Mohomad Aslam · Sayed Monib 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohomad Aslam · b Sayed Monib | 69 | 56 | 7 | 2 | 123.21 |
| Mohammed Rizlanbowled · Bilal Tahir 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Bilal Tahir | 29 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 120.83 |
| Muhammad Tanveercaught · Mohamed Shafeeq · Bilal Tahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohamed Shafeeq · b Bilal Tahir | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Muhammad Asimcaught · Muhammad Umar · Sayed Monib 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Sayed Monib | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mohammad Ahnaffnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 8* |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| Ikramullah Khancaught · Meet Bhavsar · Sayed Monib 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meet Bhavsar · b Sayed Monib | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Mujeeb Ur Rehmanbowled · Mohamed Shafeeq 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| H Rathodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirza Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sayed Monib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Tahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Saqlain Arshad, 2.4) · 2-100 (Mohammed Rizlan, 13.4) · 3-114 (Muhammad Tanveer, 15.5) · 4-114 (Imal Liyanage, 16.1) · 5-121 (Muhammad Asim, 17.0) · 6-130 (Ikramullah Khan, 18.4) · 7-131 (Mujeeb Ur Rehman, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 54/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 69/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 82/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 92/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 98/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 101/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 110/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 114/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 121/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 128/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 131/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 138/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.