**Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg**
Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2025/26 · Men

Pretoria CapitalsversusJoburg Super Kings

17 Jan 2026 · T20

Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Pretoria Capitals won by 21 runs

Pretoria Capitals20.0 overs143/6 Joburg Super Kings20.0 overs122/8 Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Pretoria Capitals started on 45%; Pretoria Capitals batted first.

Pretoria Capitals’s chance of winning (%) · Joburg Super Kings is the rest

Pretoria Capitals's chances ranged from 2% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 98%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 8.2: KA Maharaj to M De Villiers, M De Villiers out. Pretoria Capitals up from 29% to 43%.
2nd inns 10.2: KA Maharaj to PWA Mulder, PWA Mulder out. Pretoria Capitals up from 44% to 63%.
2nd inns 11.5: RL Chase to JL du Plooy, JL du Plooy out. Pretoria Capitals up from 68% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Pretoria Capitals143/6 Joburg Super Kings122/8

Innings 1