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Ireland Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
12 Jan 2025 · ODI
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 83%; India batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Georgina Dempsey · Orla Prendergast10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Georgina Dempsey · b Orla Prendergast | 73 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 135.19 |
| Pratika Rawallbw · Georgina Dempsey 8 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Georgina Dempsey | 67 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 109.84 |
| Harleen Deolcaught · Laura Delany · Arlene Kelly 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Delany · b Arlene Kelly | 89 | 84 | 12 | 0 | 105.95 |
 Jemimah Rodriguesbowled · Arlene Kelly12 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arlene Kelly | 102 | 91 | 12 | 0 | 112.09 |
India's chances ranged from 83% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 17%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · FA Sargent · b Orla Prendergast |
| 10 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Tejal Hasabnisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sayali Satgharenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 23 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 75 | 2 | 9.38 | 4 | 0 |
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 10 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 5.10 | 10 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 82 | 2 | 8.20 | 0 | 0 |
| FA Sargent0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 77 | 0 | 8.56 | 2 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 8.20 | 4 | 0 |
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
1-156 (Smriti Mandhana, 19.0) · 2-156 (Pratika Rawal, 19.1) · 3-339 (Harleen Deol, 47.1) · 4-358 (Richa Ghosh, 48.4) · 5-368 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 46/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 49/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 64/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 75/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 82/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 86/0 |
| 13 | 13 | 99/0 |
| 14 | 7 | 106/0 |
| 15 | 9 | 115/0 |
| 16 | 13 | 128/0 |
| 17 | 5 | 133/0 |
| 18 | 12 | 145/0 |
| 19 | 11 | 156/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 159/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 161/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 163/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 164/2 |
| 24 | 8 | 172/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 176/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 178/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 182/2 |
| 28 | 9 | 191/2 |
| 29 | 8 | 199/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 200/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 204/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 209/2 |
| 33 | 13 | 222/2 |
| 34 | 13 | 235/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 242/2 |
| 36 | 9 | 251/2 |
| 37 | 4 | 255/2 |
| 38 | 5 | 260/2 |
| 39 | 3 | 263/2 |
| 40 | 5 | 268/2 |
| 41 | 8 | 276/2 |
| 42 | 9 | 285/2 |
| 43 | 11 | 296/2 |
| 44 | 12 | 308/2 |
| 45 | 7 | 315/2 |
| 46 | 13 | 328/2 |
| 47 | 11 | 339/2 |
| 48 | 10 | 349/3 |
| 49 | 14 | 363/4 |
| 50 | 7 | 370/5 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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