NorwayversusAustria

30 Aug 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Austria won by 7 wickets

Norway17.3 overs81/10 Austria16.4 overs82/3 Moara Vlasiei Cricket Ground, Ilfov County ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Too close to call

50%Norway50%Austria

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Austria rate stronger than Norway (1,376 vs 1,339 on our results rating)
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Norway won 1 and Austria won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Norway started on 46%; Norway batted first.

Norway’s chance of winning (%) · Austria is the rest

Norway's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Austria: 45% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.6: SK Reddy to Bijeyata Kumari, Bijeyata Kumari out. Austria up from 45% to 52%.
8.4: AM Zepeda to Prachi Kumari, Prachi Kumari out. Austria up from 67% to 76%.
17.3: P Sabu to Mirab Razwan, Mirab Razwan out. Austria up from 75% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Norway81/10 Austria82/3

Innings 1

Norway

81/1017.3 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Norway batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
AS Goradlbw · P Sabu 2 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b P Sabu	23	32	2	0	71.88
Bijeyata Kumaricaught · Hadia Siddiqui · Komati Reddy 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Hadia Siddiqui · b Komati Reddy	1	5	0	0	20.00
Ayesha Hasanbowled · MPM Pathirannehelage 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b MPM Pathirannehelage	0	1	0	0	0.00
R Immadibowled · Andrea-Mae Zepeda 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Andrea-Mae Zepeda	12	17	2	0	70.59
Alina Aslambowled · Andrea-Mae Zepeda 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Andrea-Mae Zepeda	0	2	0	0	0.00
Prachi Kumari

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
MPM Pathirannehelage0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	16	1	5.33	6	0
Komati Reddy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	18	1	4.50	3	0
P Sabu0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls	2.3	0	10	2	4.00	3	1
Andrea-Mae Zepeda1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	14	4	3.50	2	0
Hadia Siddiqui0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	15	2	5.00	5	0
Sheetal Bhardwaj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	8	0	8.00	0	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	8	8/0
2	5	13/1
3	2	15/2
4	2	17/2
5	3	20/2
6	5	25/2
7	8	33/2
8	6	39/2
9	2	41/5
10	6	47/6
11	4	51/7
12	6	57/7
13	0	57/7
14	2	59/8
15	8	67/8
16	7	74/9
17	6	80/9
18	1	81/10

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.