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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier B · 2025/26 · Men
25 Mar 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Tanzania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 60%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Eswatini: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DA Mehtacaught · R Sandeep · Saqib Anwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Sandeep · b Saqib Anwar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| II Selemanilbw · Adil Butt (2) 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Adil Butt (2) | 35 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 134.62 |
| A Augastincaught · R Sandeep · Adil Butt (2) 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · R Sandeep · b Adil Butt (2) | 35 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 140.00 |
| Arun Yadavcaught · Het Patel (2) · Saqib Anwar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Het Patel (2) · b Saqib Anwar | 24 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 104.35 |
| MS Makernot out 7 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 65* | 42 | 7 | 2 | 154.76 |
| Kassim Nassoro |
| not out |
| 13* |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 433.33 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqib Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Alamgir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| R Sandeep0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| M Jele0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Adil Butt (2)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Magagula0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| M Khojbariya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (DA Mehta, 0.1) · 2-58 (A Augastin, 7.0) · 3-77 (II Selemani, 9.0) · 4-165 (Arun Yadav, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 16 | 77/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 87/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 94/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 113/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 116/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 123/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 132/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 141/3 |
| 19 | 22 | 163/3 |
| 20 | 15 | 178/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.