OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: This image's author is Kiwi Flickr Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
11 Jan 2025 · ODI
Eden Park, Auckland · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 30%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (New Zealand: 0% to 71%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Nathan Smith · Mitchell Santner 6 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Mitchell Santner | 66 | 42 | 6 | 5 | 157.14 |
| Avishka Fernandocaught · Mark Chapman · Nathan Smith 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Chapman · b Nathan Smith | 17 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 51.52 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Michael Bracewell · Mitchell Santner 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Mitchell Santner | 54 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 112.50 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Tom Latham · Matt Henry 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Matt Henry | 46 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 64.79 |
| Charith Asalankacaught · Matt Henry · Michael Bracewell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b Michael Bracewell | 0 | 5 |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Janith Liyanagecaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 53 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 101.92 |
|---|
| Chamindu Wickramasinghecaught · Nathan Smith · Matt Henry 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Matt Henry | 19 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 61.29 |
|---|
 Wanindu Hasarangabowled · Matt Henry0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Mahesh Theekshananot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Eshan Malinganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 5.70 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 62 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-69 (Avishka Fernando, 11.1) · 2-156 (Kusal Mendis, 27.3) · 3-160 (Charith Asalanka, 29.2) · 4-183 (Kamindu Mendis, 33.5) · 5-204 (Pathum Nissanka, 36.5) · 6-248 (Chamindu Wickramasinghe, 45.1) · 7-272 (Wanindu Hasaranga, 47.4) · 8-285 (Janith Liyanage, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 36/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 50/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 56/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 66/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 69/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 71/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 73/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 76/1 |
| 15 | 10 | 86/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 93/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 94/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 100/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 103/1 |
| 20 | 12 | 115/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 117/1 |
| 22 | 6 | 123/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 130/1 |
| 24 | 3 | 133/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 136/1 |
| 26 | 13 | 149/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 155/1 |
| 28 | 1 | 156/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 160/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 162/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 164/3 |
| 32 | 12 | 176/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 182/3 |
| 34 | 1 | 183/4 |
| 35 | 3 | 186/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 192/4 |
| 37 | 12 | 204/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 206/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 207/5 |
| 40 | 7 | 214/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 219/5 |
| 42 | 6 | 225/5 |
| 43 | 7 | 232/5 |
| 44 | 5 | 237/5 |
| 45 | 11 | 248/5 |
| 46 | 8 | 256/6 |
| 47 | 9 | 265/6 |
| 48 | 9 | 274/7 |
| 49 | 10 | 284/7 |
| 50 | 6 | 290/8 |
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}