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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Europe Division 2 Qualifier · 2025 · Women
29 May 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 31%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Jersey: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vaidyacaught · Aimee Aikenhead · O Bastin 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aimee Aikenhead · b O Bastin | 25 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 75.76 |
| Eman Asimcaught · Florence Tanguy · Grace Wetherall 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Florence Tanguy · b Grace Wetherall | 45 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Kanchan Ranabowled · Analise Merritt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Analise Merritt | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| E Thelandernot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 21 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| G Shuklacaught and bowled · Grace Wetherall 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Grace Wetherall | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Jayasooriya |
| caught · Analise Merritt · b Chloe Greechan |
| 14 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
| Zara Mohammadstumped · Mia Maguire · Chloe Greechan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mia Maguire · b Chloe Greechan | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| GMK Jayaweeracaught · Grace Wetherall · Chloe Greechan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Wetherall · b Chloe Greechan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hareer Chamtocaught · A Mossop · Chloe Greechan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Mossop · b Chloe Greechan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Greechan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Wetherall0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 5 | 1 |
| Florence Tanguy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Analise Merritt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| O Bastin0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
1-64 (A Vaidya, 10.4) · 2-67 (Kanchan Rana, 11.1) · 3-85 (Eman Asim, 13.2) · 4-91 (G Shukla, 13.5) · 5-126 (Jayasooriya, 19.1) · 6-128 (Zara Mohammad, 19.4) · 7-128 (GMK Jayaweera, 19.5) · 8-128 (Hareer Chamto, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 32/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 39/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 45/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 54/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 60/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 67/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 77/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 84/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 92/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 95/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 102/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 114/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 120/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 20 | 2 | 128/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.