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Netherlands tour of Oman · 2024/25 · Men
13 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 48%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Oman: 24% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teja Nidamanurucaught · Aamir Kaleem · Muzahir Raza 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aamir Kaleem · b Muzahir Raza | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Aamir Kaleem 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Vikramjit Singhbowled · Muzahir Raza 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muzahir Raza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Scott Edwardslbw · Muzahir Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muzahir Raza | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Aamir Kaleem3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 34 | 31 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 109.68 |
 Bas de Leedecaught · Sufyan Mehmood · Mehran Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sufyan Mehmood · b Mehran Khan | 16 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Noah Croesnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 20 | 4 | 0 | 165.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · Shakeel Ahmed0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · b Shakeel Ahmed | 14 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 127.27 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Muzahir Raza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Teja Nidamanuru, 1.2) · 2-19 (Vikramjit Singh, 2.0) · 3-27 (Scott Edwards, 4.0) · 4-50 (Max O'Dowd, 6.4) · 5-83 (Bas de Leede, 13.1) · 6-107 (Colin Ackermann, 16.4) · 7-137 (Timm van der Gugten, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 19/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 27/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 34/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 51/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 57/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 64/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 77/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 83/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 86/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 95/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 103/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 108/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 120/6 |
| 19 | 14 | 134/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 138/7 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
