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Photo: Krish Dulal
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Nepal Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024/25 · Women
30 Jan 2025 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 50%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Nepal: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Molkenboerlbw · K Kunwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b K Kunwar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sterre Kalisbowled · Sita Rana Magar 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sita Rana Magar | 29 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 82.86 |
| Babette de Leedebowled · Puja Mahato 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Puja Mahato | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Robine Rijkenot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 59* | 48 | 8 | 0 | 122.92 |
| Heather Siegerscaught · Rubina Chhetri · I Bist 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rubina Chhetri · b I Bist | 23 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 121.05 |
| Iris Zwillingnot out5 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 31* |
| 13 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 238.46 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kunwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Puja Mahato0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Rubina Chhetri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| I Bist1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 1 |
| I Barma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Kabita Joshi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sita Rana Magar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (P Molkenboer, 0.2) · 2-9 (Babette de Leede, 2.0) · 3-56 (Sterre Kalis, 10.2) · 4-110 (Heather Siegers, 15.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/2 |
| 3 | 11 | 20/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 44/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 71/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 78/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 87/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 16 | 17 | 112/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 117/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 128/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 143/4 |
| 20 | 14 | 157/4 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sita Rana Magar: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bindu Rawal: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
