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ECA Women's European Cup · 2026/27 · Women
18 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 66%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 63% to 100% during the match (Austria: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vaidyabowled · Ashi Chopla 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashi Chopla | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Adan Gulbowled · Komati Reddy 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Komati Reddy | 35 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Eman Asimcaught · Andrea-Mae Zepeda · MPM Pathirannehelage 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andrea-Mae Zepeda · b MPM Pathirannehelage | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 93.75 |
| Kanchan Ranalbw · MPM Pathirannehelage 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b MPM Pathirannehelage | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zara Mohammadcaught · Andrea-Mae Zepeda · Komati Reddy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrea-Mae Zepeda · b Komati Reddy | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Isha Joshi · b Komati Reddy |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 16.67 |
| Hareer Chamtolbw · P Sabu 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b P Sabu | 11 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 57.89 |
|---|
| Malyun Mohamed Yusuflbw · MPM Pathirannehelage 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b MPM Pathirannehelage | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Fatima Zahrastumped · Anisha Nookala · Sheetal Bhardwaj 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Anisha Nookala · b Sheetal Bhardwaj | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Anoushka Vaidyanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Shreya Hariharannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 21 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashi Chopla0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 5 | 1 |
| Andrea-Mae Zepeda0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| MPM Pathirannehelage0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Komati Reddy0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 2 | 0 |
| P Sabu0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Sheetal Bhardwaj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (A Vaidya, 2.3) · 2-46 (Eman Asim, 6.3) · 3-46 (Kanchan Rana, 6.5) · 4-47 (Zara Mohammad, 7.2) · 5-61 (J Sasi Rekha, 9.3) · 6-77 (Adan Gul, 12.0) · 7-95 (Hareer Chamto, 14.5) · 8-116 (Fatima Zahra, 18.2) · 9-123 (Malyun Mohamed Yusuf, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 47/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 56/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 61/5 |
| 11 | 10 | 71/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 77/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 85/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 87/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 95/7 |
| 16 | 1 | 96/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 105/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 115/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 121/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 124/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.