ThailandversusNamibia

23 Nov 2025 · T20

Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Thailand won by 27 runs

Thailand20.0 overs115/6 Namibia20.0 overs88/8 Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Thailand more likely to win

83%Thailand17%Namibia

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Thailand rate stronger than Namibia (1,649 vs 1,504 on our results rating)
In the last 4 T20 internationals between these sides, Thailand won 4 and Namibia won 0
Thailand are playing at home in Thailand

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Thailand started on 82%; Thailand batted first.

Thailand’s chance of winning (%) · Namibia is the rest

Thailand's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 45%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 0.5: P Maya to SA Wittmann, SA Wittmann out. Thailand up from 69% to 77%.
2nd inns 11.5: S Chaturongrattana to KA Green, KA Green out. Thailand up from 64% to 73%.
2nd inns 12.5: S Laomi to Yasmeen Khan, Yasmeen Khan out. Thailand up from 81% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Thailand115/6 Namibia88/8

Innings 1

Thailand

115/620.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Thailand batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Chanida Sutthiruangbowled · N Benjamin 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b N Benjamin	0	2	0	0	0.00
Nattaya Boochathambowled · Eveleen Kejarukua 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Eveleen Kejarukua	0	2	0	0	0.00
Nannapat Koncharoenkaibowled · N Benjamin 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b N Benjamin	5	10	1	0	50.00
Natthakan Chantamnot out4 fours · 2 sixes

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
N Benjamin1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	16	2	4.00	0
Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	14	1	3.50	2
Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	9	1	2.25	1
L Visser0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	15	0	15.00	4
Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	9	0	9.00	1
Kayleen Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	33	0	8.25	0
M Mwatile0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	17	1	8.50	2

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	0	0/1
2	2	2/2
3	8	10/2
4	4	14/2
5	4	18/3
6	1	19/3
7	4	23/4
8	7	30/4
9	3	33/4
10	16	49/4
11	3	52/4
12	9	61/4
13	2	63/5
14	1	64/5
15	2	66/5
16	6	72/5
17	6	78/6
18	6	84/6
19	11	95/6
20	20	115/6

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.