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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Papua New Guinea · 2025/26 · Women
15 Oct 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 52%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught and bowled · Pauke Siaka 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Pauke Siaka | 10 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 37.04 |
| Theertha Satishcaught and bowled · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b HJ Thomas | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 31.58 |
| Lavanya Kenylbw · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b HJ Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| S Dharnidharkastumped · Brenda Tau · Isabel Toua 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Brenda Tau · b Isabel Toua | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 52.63 |
| Vaishnave Maheshlbw · Geua Tom 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Geua Tom | 15 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Pauke Siaka |
| 32 |
| 56 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| MD Bothacaught · Konio Oala · HJ Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Konio Oala · b HJ Thomas | 23 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 65.71 |
|---|
| Udeni Donacaught and bowled · HJ Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b HJ Thomas | 11 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 36.67 |
|---|
| Siya Gokhalebowled · Pauke Siaka 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pauke Siaka | 9 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 36.00 |
|---|
| Katie Thompsonnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 26 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| S Kottelbw · Pauke Siaka 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Pauke Siaka | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairi Tom0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 4.14 | 1 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas1 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 28 | 4 | 2.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Pauke Siaka1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.4 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 2.59 | 0 | 0 |
| HL Tau0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 4.20 | 0 | 1 |
| Geua Tom0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Theertha Satish, 5.2) · 2-13 (Lavanya Keny, 5.3) · 3-30 (S Dharnidharka, 10.4) · 4-30 (Esha Oza, 11.2) · 5-81 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 24.3) · 6-83 (Rinitha Rajith, 25.2) · 7-103 (Udeni Dona, 33.5) · 8-121 (MD Botha, 37.1) · 9-139 (Siya Gokhale, 43.1) · 10-143 (S Kotte, 45.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 13/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 26/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 30/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 32/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 35/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 44/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 45/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 47/4 |
| 17 | 0 | 47/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 54/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 62/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 67/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 22 | 5 | 77/4 |
| 23 | 2 | 79/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 81/4 |
| 25 | 2 | 83/5 |
| 26 | 0 | 83/6 |
| 27 | 1 | 84/6 |
| 28 | 3 | 87/6 |
| 29 | 1 | 88/6 |
| 30 | 2 | 90/6 |
| 31 | 6 | 96/6 |
| 32 | 1 | 97/6 |
| 33 | 3 | 100/6 |
| 34 | 3 | 103/7 |
| 35 | 5 | 108/7 |
| 36 | 3 | 111/7 |
| 37 | 9 | 120/7 |
| 38 | 5 | 125/8 |
| 39 | 2 | 127/8 |
| 40 | 6 | 133/8 |
| 41 | 2 | 135/8 |
| 42 | 2 | 137/8 |
| 43 | 2 | 139/8 |
| 44 | 2 | 141/9 |
| 45 | 1 | 142/9 |
| 46 | 1 | 143/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.