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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 63%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 63% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Tom Helm | 97 | 56 | 10 | 5 | 173.21 |
1 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Noah Cornwell | 27 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 122.73 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Luke Hollman | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| caught · Joe Cracknell · b Noah Cornwell |
| 26 |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 152.94 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Stephen Eskinazi · Tom Helm 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Stephen Eskinazi · b Tom Helm | 15 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 214.29 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Tom Helm | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykesbowled · Ryan Higgins 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryan Higgins | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryan Higgins | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 3 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-89 (Dominic Sibley, 8.4) · 2-92 (Jason Roy, 9.4) · 3-145 (Sam Curran, 15.0) · 4-166 (Will Jacks, 16.5) · 5-166 (Tom Curran, 17.0) · 6-175 (Laurie Evans, 18.2) · 7-186 (Chris Jordan, 19.1) · 8-190 (Ollie Sykes, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 22 | 66/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 74/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 86/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 90/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 123/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 134/2 |
| 15 | 11 | 145/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 156/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 166/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 169/5 |
| 19 | 17 | 186/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 194/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.