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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 48%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythlbw · Benny Howell3 fours · 5 sixes | lbw · b Benny Howell | 52 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 192.59 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Tom Moores · Liam Patterson-White5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Liam Patterson-White | 38 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 165.22 |
 Joe Rootcaught · Dillon Pennington · Benny Howell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dillon Pennington · b Benny Howell | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Binura Fernando4 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Binura Fernando |
| 32 |
| 27 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 118.52 |
 Moeen Alicaught · Oli Stone · Liam Patterson-White1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b Liam Patterson-White | 20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 142.86 |
|---|
 Matt Revislbw · Liam Patterson-White0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Liam Patterson-White | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Dominic Besscaught · Tom Moores · Oli Stone0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Oli Stone | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekrun out · Benny Howell, Tom Moores · Oli Stone 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Benny Howell, Tom Moores | 28 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Andrew Tyebowled · George Linde0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Linde | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Binura Fernando · George Linde0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Binura Fernando · b George Linde | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 325.00 |
|---|
| JA Chohannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 13.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Binura Fernando0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 14.82 | 2 | 2 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-89 (Adam Lyth, 7.4) · 2-93 (William Luxton, 8.2) · 3-95 (Joe Root, 9.2) · 4-142 (Moeen Ali, 14.2) · 5-144 (Matt Revis, 15.0) · 6-145 (Dominic Bess, 15.2) · 7-158 (Jonny Bairstow, 17.4) · 8-159 (Andrew Tye, 18.0) · 9-173 (Hasan Ali, 18.5) · 10-193 (Logan van Beek, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 37/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 53/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 60/0 |
| 6 | 23 | 83/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 87/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 91/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 95/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 100/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 107/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 118/3 |
| 14 | 21 | 139/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 144/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 148/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 151/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 159/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 173/9 |
| 20 | 20 | 193/10 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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