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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 43%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 28% to 98% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 2% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconceloscaught · Craig Miles · George Garton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b George Garton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Moeen Ali · Jacob Lintott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Jacob Lintott | 21 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 91.30 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b Danny Briggs | 13 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65.00 |
| Saif Zaibcaught · Sam Hain · Craig Miles 8 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Craig Miles | 86 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 209.76 |
| caught · George Garton · b Danny Briggs |
| 19 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 118.75 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Dan Mousley | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Lewis McManusnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 22* | 10 | 3 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 11 · wides: 4 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 1 | 2 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 2 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 0.3) · 2-41 (David Willey, 6.2) · 3-76 (Matthew Breetzke, 9.4) · 4-148 (Ravi Bopara, 16.3) · 5-157 (Saif Zaib, 17.1) · 6-177 (Ashton Agar, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 8 | 16 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 78/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 86/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 97/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 18 | 124/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 131/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 15 | 156/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 168/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 179/6 |
| 20 | 18 | 197/6 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.