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Photo: Dominic Sayers from London, England
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
7 Aug 2024 · Test
Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad · Venue photographSouth Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jason Holder | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 26.47 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Kavem Hodge · Jomel Warrican 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Jomel Warrican | 78 | 145 | 7 | 2 | 53.79 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Jason Holder · Kemar Roach 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Kemar Roach | 20 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 41.67 |
7 fours · 1 sixes |
| lbw · b Jayden Seales |
| 86 |
| 182 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 47.25 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Keacy Carty · Jayden Seales 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Keacy Carty · b Jayden Seales | 29 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 64.44 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kemar Roach | 19 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 38.78 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught and bowled · Jomel Warrican 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jomel Warrican | 39 | 87 | 5 | 0 | 44.83 |
|---|
4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 41* | 85 | 4 | 1 | 48.24 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jomel Warrican | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jomel Warrican | 21 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 65.63 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 2.65 | 0 | 5 | |
| Jayden Seales5 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.4 | 5 | 67 | 3 | 2.72 | 1 | 1 |
| Gudakesh Motie2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 28.0 | 2 | 103 | 0 | 3.68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17.0 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jomel Warrican2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 2 | 69 | 4 | 3.14 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 | |
| Alick Athanaze0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Aiden Markram, 13.1) · 2-86 (Tristan Stubbs, 27.1) · 3-137 (Tony de Zorzi, 49.1) · 4-187 (David Bedingham, 63.4) · 5-244 (Ryan Rickelton, 80.2) · 6-271 (Temba Bavuma, 88.3) · 7-328 (Kyle Verreynne, 108.3) · 8-328 (Keshav Maharaj, 108.4) · 9-356 (Kagiso Rabada, 116.4) · 10-357 (Lungi Ngidi, 117.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 31/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 37/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 43/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 45/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 50/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 54/1 |
| 19 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 64/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 67/1 |
| 22 | 2 | 69/1 |
| 23 | 1 | 70/1 |
| 24 | 8 | 78/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 81/1 |
| 26 | 4 | 85/1 |
| 27 | 1 | 86/1 |
| 28 | 0 | 86/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 91/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 93/2 |
| 32 | 0 | 93/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 101/2 |
| 34 | 1 | 102/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 105/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 109/2 |
| 37 | 3 | 112/2 |
| 38 | 0 | 112/2 |
| 39 | 7 | 119/2 |
| 40 | 0 | 119/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 120/2 |
| 42 | 2 | 122/2 |
| 43 | 2 | 124/2 |
| 44 | 0 | 124/2 |
| 45 | 2 | 126/2 |
| 46 | 6 | 132/2 |
| 47 | 2 | 134/2 |
| 48 | 2 | 136/2 |
| 49 | 1 | 137/2 |
| 50 | 1 | 138/3 |
| 51 | 8 | 146/3 |
| 52 | 1 | 147/3 |
| 53 | 5 | 152/3 |
| 54 | 0 | 152/3 |
| 55 | 0 | 152/3 |
| 56 | 2 | 154/3 |
| 57 | 1 | 155/3 |
| 58 | 2 | 157/3 |
| 59 | 7 | 164/3 |
| 60 | 9 | 173/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 177/3 |
| 62 | 6 | 183/3 |
| 63 | 3 | 186/3 |
| 64 | 5 | 191/4 |
| 65 | 4 | 195/4 |
| 66 | 0 | 195/4 |
| 67 | 3 | 198/4 |
| 68 | 10 | 208/4 |
| 69 | 5 | 213/4 |
| 70 | 0 | 213/4 |
| 71 | 6 | 219/4 |
| 72 | 0 | 219/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 220/4 |
| 74 | 1 | 221/4 |
| 75 | 6 | 227/4 |
| 76 | 2 | 229/4 |
| 77 | 2 | 231/4 |
| 78 | 4 | 235/4 |
| 79 | 4 | 239/4 |
| 80 | 5 | 244/4 |
| 81 | 1 | 245/5 |
| 82 | 3 | 248/5 |
| 83 | 1 | 249/5 |
| 84 | 1 | 250/5 |
| 85 | 8 | 258/5 |
| 86 | 4 | 262/5 |
| 87 | 6 | 268/5 |
| 88 | 3 | 271/5 |
| 89 | 0 | 271/6 |
| 90 | 7 | 278/6 |
| 91 | 2 | 280/6 |
| 92 | 9 | 289/6 |
| 93 | 0 | 289/6 |
| 94 | 1 | 290/6 |
| 95 | 0 | 290/6 |
| 96 | 0 | 290/6 |
| 97 | 0 | 290/6 |
| 98 | 0 | 290/6 |
| 99 | 4 | 294/6 |
| 100 | 3 | 297/6 |
| 101 | 1 | 298/6 |
| 102 | 5 | 303/6 |
| 103 | 4 | 307/6 |
| 104 | 4 | 311/6 |
| 105 | 6 | 317/6 |
| 106 | 5 | 322/6 |
| 107 | 4 | 326/6 |
| 108 | 1 | 327/6 |
| 109 | 3 | 330/8 |
| 110 | 7 | 337/8 |
| 111 | 5 | 342/8 |
| 112 | 1 | 343/8 |
| 113 | 1 | 344/8 |
| 114 | 1 | 345/8 |
| 115 | 2 | 347/8 |
| 116 | 8 | 355/8 |
| 117 | 1 | 356/9 |
| 118 | 1 | 357/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.