Sunrisers HyderabadversusKolkata Knight Riders

26 May 2024 · T20

MA Chidambaram Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 8 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad18.3 overs113/10 Kolkata Knight Riders10.3 overs114/2 MA Chidambaram Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 43%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 57% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: MA Starc to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 58% to 70%.
1.6: VG Arora to TM Head, TM Head out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 70% to 78%.
6.6: Harshit Rana to Nithish Kumar Reddy, Nithish Kumar Reddy out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 74% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad113/10 Kolkata Knight Riders114/2

Innings 1