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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Hong Kong) · 2025 · Men
13 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 74%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 68% to 99% during the match (Qatar: 1% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Jassim Khan · Muhammad Jabir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jassim Khan · b Muhammad Jabir | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
| Anshuman Rathlbw · Ikramullah Khan 10 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Ikramullah Khan | 97 | 60 | 10 | 3 | 161.67 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Bipin Kumar · Mohammed Irshad 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bipin Kumar · b Mohammed Irshad | 27 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 103.85 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Bipin Kumar · Muhammad Jabir 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bipin Kumar · b Muhammad Jabir | 17 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 154.55 |
| Yasim Murtazacaught · Jassim Khan · Bipin Kumar 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jassim Khan · b Bipin Kumar | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 142.86 |
| Shahid Wasifrun out · Shahzaib Jamil, Mujeeb Ur Rehman · Ikramullah Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Shahzaib Jamil, Mujeeb Ur Rehman |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Waqas Barkatnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Nasrulla Rananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bipin Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| A Nagarajan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Irshad0 maidens · 5 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 5 | 2 |
1-25 (Zeeshan Ali, 3.3) · 2-106 (Nizakat Khan, 12.1) · 3-161 (Babar Hayat, 16.2) · 4-174 (Anshuman Rath, 18.2) · 5-182 (Shahid Wasif, 18.5) · 6-182 (Yasim Murtaza, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 61/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 86/1 |
| 12 | 20 | 106/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 115/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 127/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 141/2 |
| 16 | 19 | 160/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 166/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 174/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 182/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 188/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.