Quetta GladiatorsversusPeshawar Zalmi

12 Apr 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 80 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs216/3 Peshawar Zalmi15.1 overs136/10 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 42%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 0% to 57%).

Biggest swings

6.2: Sufiyan Muqeem to FH Allen, six by FH Allen. Quetta Gladiators up from 70% to 79%.
2nd inns 0.6: Mohammad Amir to Babar Azam, Babar Azam out. Quetta Gladiators up from 77% to 85%.
2nd inns 3.2: Abrar Ahmed to Mohammad Haris, Mohammad Haris out. Quetta Gladiators up from 79% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators216/3 Peshawar Zalmi136/10

Innings 1