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Mini SEA Men's Twenty20 Cricket Competition · 2025/26 · Men
25 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 66%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 7% to 67% during the match (Malaysia: 33% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Ahmed Faiz · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmed Faiz · b Pavandeep Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| P Kuruplbw · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Syed Aziz | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Amir Khan · Vijay Unni 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Amir Khan · b Vijay Unni | 48 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Imran Anwarbowled · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 19 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 76.00 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Muhamad Syahadat · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhamad Syahadat · b Syed Aziz | 28 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 87.50 |
| caught · Muhamad Syahadat · b Virandeep Singh |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
| Naveena Shettycaught · Muhamad Syahadat · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhamad Syahadat · b Virandeep Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Azizcaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Syed Aziz | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Rizwan Buttbowled · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Syed Aziz | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Majeednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahim Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Asif Ali, 0.2) · 2-4 (P Kurup, 1.3) · 3-51 (Imran Anwar, 9.4) · 4-84 (Fiaz Ahmed, 16.0) · 5-97 (Asif Javed, 18.3) · 6-97 (Naveena Shetty, 18.4) · 7-105 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 19.2) · 8-105 (Rizwan Butt, 19.3) · 9-106 (Junaid Aziz, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 51/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 56/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 69/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 79/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 87/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 96/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 99/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 107/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.