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Thailand tour of Indonesia · 2024 · Men
6 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 38%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Thailand: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanalbw · Sarawut Maliwan 1 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Sarawut Maliwan | 26 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 144.44 |
| Anjar Tadarusbowled · Jandre Coetzee 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jandre Coetzee | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dharma Kesumacaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Nopphon Senamontree 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Nopphon Senamontree | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| F Banunaekbowled · Jandre Coetzee 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jandre Coetzee | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught · Y Saranonnakkun · A Kalasi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b A Kalasi | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| bowled · b A Kalasi |
| 5 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 35.71 |
| Gede Artanot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 34 | 1 | 1 | 88.24 |
|---|
| Ahmad Ramdonicaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Mukesh Thakur 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Mukesh Thakur | 31 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 93.94 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawancaught · Sarawut Maliwan · Jandre Coetzee 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarawut Maliwan · b Jandre Coetzee | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 2 |
| Jandre Coetzee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| A Kalasi1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Anjar Tadarus, 1.1) · 2-20 (Dharma Kesuma, 2.2) · 3-23 (F Banunaek, 3.5) · 4-33 (Kadek Gamantika, 5.3) · 5-41 (Gede Priandana, 6.4) · 6-49 (Gaurav Tiwari, 9.2) · 7-106 (Ahmad Ramdoni, 18.3) · 8-117 (Ketut Artawan, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 23/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 29/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 33/4 |
| 7 | 10 | 43/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 45/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/5 |
| 10 | 0 | 49/6 |
| 11 | 7 | 56/6 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 67/6 |
| 14 | 8 | 75/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 77/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 90/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 105/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 112/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 117/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.