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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
12 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 30%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 0% to 32% during the match (Kuwait: 68% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tshering Tashicaught · Mohomad Aslam · Adnan Idrees 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohomad Aslam · b Adnan Idrees | 16 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 39.02 |
| Tenjin Rabgeybowled · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yasin Patel | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sonam Chophelstumped · Clinto Anto · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Clinto Anto · b Yasin Patel | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Namgang Chejaycaught · Meet Bhavsar · Adnan Idrees 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Meet Bhavsar · b Adnan Idrees | 20 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 86.96 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjicaught · Clinto Anto · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Meet Bhavsar | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Thinley Jamtshonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 12* |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Tashi Phuntshocaught · Shahrukh Quddus · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahrukh Quddus · b Mohomad Aslam | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Tashi Dorjicaught · Meet Bhavsar · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meet Bhavsar · b Mohomad Aslam | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Gakul Ghalleystumped · Clinto Anto · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Clinto Anto · b Yasin Patel | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Anand Mongarstumped · Clinto Anto · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Clinto Anto · b Yasin Patel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sonam Yesheynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahrukh Quddus0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Yasin Patel1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Anudeep Chenthamara0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Tenjin Rabgey, 1.4) · 2-11 (Sonam Chophel, 3.1) · 3-40 (Tshering Tashi, 10.5) · 4-43 (Namgang Chejay, 12.3) · 5-55 (Ranjung Mikyo Dorji, 15.5) · 6-64 (Tashi Phuntsho, 18.1) · 7-64 (Tashi Dorji, 18.3) · 8-73 (Gakul Ghalley, 19.4) · 9-73 (Anand Mongar, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 32/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 34/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 40/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 45/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 55/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 59/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 64/5 |
| 19 | 2 | 66/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 74/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.