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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
12 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 37%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Andries Gousbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 13 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 56.52 |
| Monank Patelbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Aamir Kaleem · Shakeel Ahmed 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aamir Kaleem · b Shakeel Ahmed | 80 | 106 | 9 | 0 | 75.47 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · Vinayak Shukla · Jay Odedra 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Jay Odedra | 12 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Oman: 57% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Hashir Dafedar · b Wasim Ali |
| 15 |
| 44 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 34.09 |
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Aamir Kaleem · Samay Shrivastava 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aamir Kaleem · b Samay Shrivastava | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwykbowled · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jay Odedra | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigestumped · Vinayak Shukla · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Jay Odedra | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 2.84 | 0 | 1 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 5.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 3.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 3.29 | 5 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Wasim Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Smit Patel, 3.0) · 2-13 (Monank Patel, 4.1) · 3-36 (Andries Gous, 8.5) · 4-71 (Milind Kumar, 18.4) · 5-119 (Aaron Jones, 32.2) · 6-126 (Harmeet Singh, 34.0) · 7-130 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 35.5) · 8-140 (Shadley van Schalkwyk, 38.4) · 9-140 (Nosthush Kenjige, 39.0) · 10-151 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 42.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 26/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 35/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 36/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 41/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 13 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 65/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 66/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 69/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 73/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 21 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 22 | 6 | 82/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 87/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 88/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 91/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 96/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 99/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 102/4 |
| 30 | 10 | 112/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 116/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 118/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 121/5 |
| 34 | 5 | 126/6 |
| 35 | 3 | 129/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 130/7 |
| 37 | 2 | 132/7 |
| 38 | 2 | 134/7 |
| 39 | 6 | 140/9 |
| 40 | 7 | 147/9 |
| 41 | 1 | 148/9 |
| 42 | 3 | 151/9 |
| 43 | 0 | 151/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.