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Kwibuka Women's Twenty20 Tournament · 2024 · Women
5 Jun 2024 · T20
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Kenya more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cameroon started on 18%; Cameroon batted first.
Cameroon's chances ranged from 0% to 19% during the match (Kenya: 81% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLN Sissakocaught · V Ooko · L Idambo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Ooko · b L Idambo | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| JAN Ngonocaught · C Muthoni · A Wanjira 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Muthoni · b A Wanjira | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| MSN Ekanicaught · Queentor Abel · A Wanjira 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Queentor Abel · b A Wanjira | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 26.32 |
| BMA Mbidabowled · E Wachira 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Wachira | 14 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
| B Walumacaught · L Idambo · E Wachira 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · L Idambo · b E Wachira | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| ME Bessala |
| caught · E Waithaka · b E Wachira |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| TMA Leslierun out · E Waithaka, J Ajiambo · E Waithaka 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Waithaka, J Ajiambo | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| EGS Kanacaught and bowled · E Wachira 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b E Wachira | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| SA Nonocaught and bowled · J Ajiambo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b J Ajiambo | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| CN Messinarun out · V Ooko, C Muthoni · E Wachira 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Ooko, C Muthoni | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| E Guehoadanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L Idambo1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| A Wanjira0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| F Odhiambo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| E Waithaka1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.75 | 1 | 0 |
| E Wachira3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Ajiambo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (JAN Ngono, 1.2) · 2-1 (MLN Sissako, 2.1) · 3-13 (MSN Ekani, 5.5) · 4-29 (B Waluma, 8.4) · 5-29 (ME Bessala, 9.0) · 6-30 (BMA Mbida, 10.3) · 7-33 (TMA Leslie, 11.5) · 8-34 (EGS Kana, 12.2) · 9-35 (CN Messina, 14.5) · 10-37 (SA Nono, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 6/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 14/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 22/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 29/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 29/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 30/5 |
| 11 | 1 | 31/6 |
| 12 | 3 | 34/7 |
| 13 | 1 | 35/8 |
| 14 | 0 | 35/8 |
| 15 | 0 | 35/9 |
| 16 | 2 | 37/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.