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West Indies tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Men
25 Jan 2024 · Test
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 16.00 |
| Tagenarine Chanderpaulcaught · Steve Smith · Mitchell Starc 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Mitchell Starc | 21 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 43.75 |
| Kirk McKenziecaught · Usman Khawaja · Pat Cummins 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Pat Cummins | 21 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 84.00 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Alex Carey · Mitchell Starc 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Mitchell Starc | 8 |
| 22 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 36.36 |
| Kavem Hodgecaught · Steve Smith · Mitchell Starc 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Mitchell Starc | 71 | 194 | 8 | 1 | 36.60 |
|---|
| Justin Greavescaught · Usman Khawaja · Mitchell Starc 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Mitchell Starc | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvalbw · Nathan Lyon7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Lyon | 79 | 157 | 7 | 0 | 50.32 |
|---|
| Kevin Sinclairstumped · Alex Carey · Nathan Lyon 5 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Alex Carey · b Nathan Lyon | 50 | 98 | 5 | 1 | 51.02 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Steve Smith · Josh Hazlewood 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Josh Hazlewood | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 145.45 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachrun out · Marnus Labuschagne, Travis Head · Pat Cummins1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Marnus Labuschagne, Travis Head | 8 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 3 | 82 | 4 | 3.42 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood6 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 6 | 38 | 2 | 1.90 | 0 | 1 |
 Pat Cummins1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 1 | 76 | 1 | 3.30 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 28.0 | 3 | 81 | 2 | 2.89 | 0 | 0 |
 Mitchell Marsh0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Cameron Green2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1.71 | 1 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 7.2) · 2-42 (Kirk McKenzie, 14.5) · 3-54 (Tagenarine Chanderpaul, 19.2) · 4-57 (Alick Athanaze, 21.4) · 5-64 (Justin Greaves, 25.2) · 6-213 (Joshua Da Silva, 77.1) · 7-225 (Kavem Hodge, 84.2) · 8-266 (Alzarri Joseph, 89.4) · 9-297 (Kemar Roach, 104.5) · 10-311 (Kevin Sinclair, 108.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 31/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 38/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 49/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 54/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 57/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 61/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 61/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 63/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 64/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 69/5 |
| 27 | 3 | 72/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 79/5 |
| 29 | 8 | 87/5 |
| 30 | 8 | 95/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 96/5 |
| 32 | 1 | 97/5 |
| 33 | 4 | 101/5 |
| 34 | 2 | 103/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 104/5 |
| 36 | 1 | 105/5 |
| 37 | 0 | 105/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 107/5 |
| 39 | 0 | 107/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 109/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 111/5 |
| 42 | 6 | 117/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 118/5 |
| 44 | 5 | 123/5 |
| 45 | 0 | 123/5 |
| 46 | 1 | 124/5 |
| 47 | 7 | 131/5 |
| 48 | 2 | 133/5 |
| 49 | 1 | 134/5 |
| 50 | 1 | 135/5 |
| 51 | 5 | 140/5 |
| 52 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 53 | 1 | 145/5 |
| 54 | 1 | 146/5 |
| 55 | 4 | 150/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 152/5 |
| 57 | 0 | 152/5 |
| 58 | 5 | 157/5 |
| 59 | 2 | 159/5 |
| 60 | 5 | 164/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 167/5 |
| 62 | 1 | 168/5 |
| 63 | 1 | 169/5 |
| 64 | 2 | 171/5 |
| 65 | 4 | 175/5 |
| 66 | 1 | 176/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 177/5 |
| 68 | 1 | 178/5 |
| 69 | 5 | 183/5 |
| 70 | 1 | 184/5 |
| 71 | 3 | 187/5 |
| 72 | 2 | 189/5 |
| 73 | 3 | 192/5 |
| 74 | 6 | 198/5 |
| 75 | 10 | 208/5 |
| 76 | 2 | 210/5 |
| 77 | 3 | 213/5 |
| 78 | 1 | 214/6 |
| 79 | 1 | 215/6 |
| 80 | 3 | 218/6 |
| 81 | 1 | 219/6 |
| 82 | 5 | 224/6 |
| 83 | 0 | 224/6 |
| 84 | 1 | 225/6 |
| 85 | 4 | 229/7 |
| 86 | 13 | 242/7 |
| 87 | 4 | 246/7 |
| 88 | 7 | 253/7 |
| 89 | 9 | 262/7 |
| 90 | 4 | 266/8 |
| 91 | 1 | 267/8 |
| 92 | 5 | 272/8 |
| 93 | 1 | 273/8 |
| 94 | 1 | 274/8 |
| 95 | 2 | 276/8 |
| 96 | 0 | 276/8 |
| 97 | 10 | 286/8 |
| 98 | 0 | 286/8 |
| 99 | 0 | 286/8 |
| 100 | 2 | 288/8 |
| 101 | 1 | 289/8 |
| 102 | 6 | 295/8 |
| 103 | 1 | 296/8 |
| 104 | 0 | 296/8 |
| 105 | 2 | 298/9 |
| 106 | 0 | 298/9 |
| 107 | 2 | 300/9 |
| 108 | 11 | 311/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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